Emmy nominations are out!! So… that means it’s time for me to post all of my predictions! I won’t bother writing out a whole introduction. You know what the Emmys are. If you’re new to me and you’re just joining from Telemazing, then you should know that some of my predictions will have analysis underneath and some won’t. Also I’m mostly just doing the biggest awards (series, lead and supporting actor and actress, all in both comedy and drama), and a select few other categories that just interest me. So. Yeah. Let’s do this!
Things in Bold Italics are the Categories
Things in normal text are regular nominees.
Things in italics are my winner predictions.
*Things with an asterisk are series/people I don’t think will win because of industry politics or some other reason, but are good enough that they should.
Outstanding Drama Series
- Better Call Saul
- Downton Abbey
- Game of Thrones
- House of Cards
- Mad Men
- Orange is the New Black
I feel like this one is pretty obvious. It was Mad Men’s last season, and the Emmys love giving awards to shows as they’re on their way out. It’s all about examining a Complicated White Male (which the old, white, male Emmy voters love) in the sixties and seventies (which the old, white, male Emmy voters miss). Add that to the fact that the finale was a huge television event that is still discussed so it’s pretty present in the average culturally educated mind, and it makes Mad Men a pretty clear choice to win.
Outstanding Comedy Series
- Modern Family
- Parks and Recreation
- Silicon Valley
- Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Similar to Mad Men winning Best Drama, this is Parks and Rec’s last chance, especially since it has never won for Best Comedy! It’s also a show that’s all about love and friendship while still having something to say about politics and domestic and foreign policy, and the Emmys love a show that has an opinion on something outside of its own overall plot arc. Besides, it’s a show that just has tons and tons of heart. I think that Veep and Louie are also excellent series, Modern Family has won pretty much every year for the past several years, and Transparent is straight up a gift to us all from the TV gods (aka, Jill Soloway). But Transparent, Louis, and Veep will be back again next year, Modern Family has had it’s due, and now it’s time for Parks and Rec to get the recognition it deserves. (And if you’ve also read Yes Please, by Amy Poehler, then you’ll understand why I really want her to get her pudding.)
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Better Call Saul – Bob Odenkirk as Jimmy McGill
- Bloodline – Kyle Chandler as John Rayburn
- House of Cards – Kevin Spacey as Frank Underwood
- Mad Men – Jon Hamm as Don Draper
- The Newsroom – Jeff Daniels as Will McAvoy
- Ray Donovan – Liev Schreiber as Ray Donovan
Did you know that Jon Hamm has never won an Emmy for his portrayal of Don Draper in Mad Men, even though it’s a career making, and beyond that, iconic performance?
If you’ve read any of my analyses in this post before this, you already understand why I don’t think that’ll be the case anymore after September 20th.
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series
- Empire – Taraji P. Henson as Cookie Lyon
- Homeland – Claire Danes as Carrie Mathison
- House of Cards – Robin Wright as Claire Underwood
- How to Get Away with Murder – Viola Davis as Annalise Keating
- Mad Men – Elizabeth Moss as Peggy Olson
- Orphan Black – Tatiana Maslany as Sarah, Alison, Cosmia, Helena, Rachel, and Krystal
Does this really need analysis? The pretentious elite (of which I fully admit that I am a member) that make up the Emmy voters (of which I fully admit that I am not) have finally discovered Orphan Black, and now Tatiana Maslany is going to get her dues.
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
- black-ish – Anthony Anderson as Andre Johnson
- Episodes – Matt LeBlanc as Matt LeBlanc
- House of Lies – Don Cheadle as Marty Kaan
- The Last Man on Earth – Will Forte as Phil Miller
- Louie – Louis C.K. as Louie
- Shameless – William H. Macy as Frank Gallagher
- Transparent – Jeffrey Tambor as Maura Pfefferman
Between how Transparent just cleaned up at the Golden Globes earlier this year, and the fact that the show is literally just a gift to us all from the TV gods (aka Jill Soloway), while it may not win Best Comedy, it can certainly give this award to Jeffrey Tambor, who plays Maura with grace and humanity, and not a shred of the self-righteousness that comes with an actor who is trying to Make a Point instead of tell a story.
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
*The Comeback – Lisa Kudrow as Valerie Cherish
*Grace and Frankie – Lily Tomlin as Frankie
*Inside Amy Schumer – Amy Schumer as Amy
*Nurse Jackie – Edie Falco as Jackie Peyton
Parks and Recreation – Amy Poehler as Leslie Knope
*Veep – Julia Louis-Dreyfus as Selina Meyer
Guys, this one was actually really, really difficult. Literally any of these women could win, and I would totally understand it, and there would be a part of me that agrees with it. I actually came really close to choosing Edie Falco to win this one as Nurse Jackie is also ending and it’s one of those comedies that is really more of a dramady than a comedy. But… she’s also won the award for this role already (not to mention previous wins for The Sopranos) and I really think this is the time for Parks and Rec. But really. This is such an over-the-top strong category this year with each of these actresses turning in strong, heartfelt, moving, and hilarious performances. This pick was really, really difficult.
Read the rest on my website, where I talk about the Supporting Categories and few other primetime roles: http://www.emmalieberman.com/blog/emmy-nominations-2015-emma-lieberman